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S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

By Wendy Soong
February 24, 2012 12:12 PM EST

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Feb. 24.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R       53.8     21     20.31     31.23    -62.83
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         45.9     24     36.24     52.88    -26.44
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       38.6     15     17.10     23.71     -8.85
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        38.3     10     44.77     61.90    -29.68
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       36.9     21     36.52     50.00    -45.70
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         36.7     10      8.90     12.17    -23.98
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        34.3     13     68.77     92.36    -27.20
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        32.3     26     38.62     51.11    -18.62
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       32.3     11     34.17     45.20    -12.10
IGT   INTL GAME TECH        31.9     14     15.24     20.10     -5.64
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         31.2      7     13.25     17.38     -3.22
F     FORD MOTOR CO         30.0     10     12.31     16.00    -16.21
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       29.8     18      2.45      3.18    -40.00
GILD  GILEAD SCIENCES       28.7     19     44.94     57.86     18.75
BHI   BAKER HUGHES IN       26.7     24     52.30     66.24    -24.96
COG   CABOT OIL & GAS       26.5     19     35.37     44.75     58.55
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       26.5     16     23.00     29.09     19.11
MET   METLIFE INC           26.2     14     37.89     47.82    -14.73
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        25.9     12     62.49     78.66      9.73
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       25.8     10     53.10     66.80     15.61
NRG   NRG ENERGY            25.7      8     17.94     22.55    -10.40
WLP   WELLPOINT INC         24.9     12     65.87     82.29      3.48
CSX   CSX CORP              24.6     21     21.80     27.17     -7.25
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       24.4     11     20.65     25.69    -28.19
C     CITIGROUP INC         24.4     19     32.46     40.38    -30.32
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        24.2      5     14.09     17.50    -20.44
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       24.1     16     44.54     55.28    -11.33
WU    WESTERN UNION         23.8     22     17.83     22.07    -13.26
PWR   QUANTA SERVICES       22.8     16     21.31     26.18     -5.97
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       22.8     22     22.52     27.65    -22.34
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         22.8      6     16.29     20.00     18.76
SNDK  SANDISK CORP          22.7     18     49.33     60.55      1.47
NSC   NORFOLK SOUTHER       22.6     20     70.05     85.86     11.43
EQT   EQT CORP              22.2     15     54.02     66.00     13.88
TER   TERADYNE INC          22.1     10     16.42     20.04     -7.22
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        21.6      8     24.85     30.22    -19.23
EXPD  EXPEDITORS INTL       21.2      9     43.72     53.00     -8.47
MU    MICRON TECH           21.1     20      7.91      9.57    -25.88
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       20.9     20     33.50     40.50    -14.59
SLM   SLM CORP              20.7      6     16.30     19.67     18.74
HES   HESS CORP             20.5     12     67.01     80.77    -21.38
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       20.5     15     20.81     25.07    -12.05
KMX   CARMAX INC            20.5     12     30.30     36.50    -12.63
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       19.9     24     75.49     90.52    -15.47
CAH   CARDINAL HEALTH       19.9      9     41.85     50.17      4.69
SVU   SUPERVALU INC         19.6     13      6.69      8.00    -17.32
AMZN  AMAZON.COM INC        19.6     27    180.25    215.55      1.25
CVC   CABLEVISION SY-       19.3     14     15.72     18.75    -36.72
ABC   AMERISOURCEBERG       19.2      9     37.67     44.92      2.94
X     US STEEL CORP         19.0     13     28.57     34.01    -50.33
JPM   JPMORGAN CHASE        19.0     25     38.57     45.89    -13.98

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
FII   FEDERATED INV-B      -15.9      9     20.93     17.60    -19.47
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC      -14.6      8     32.40     27.67    -30.16
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN       -13.6      5     35.87     31.00     12.75
NFLX  NETFLIX INC          -13.1     20    112.54     97.75    -46.50
WM    WASTE MANAGEMEN       -9.8      6     35.61     32.13     -0.98
LXK   LEXMARK INTL-A        -9.7      7     37.34     33.71      0.51
FAST  FASTENAL CO           -9.5      4     52.15     47.20     73.00
AEE   AMEREN CORP           -9.1      4     32.23     29.30     24.74
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -8.0     13     90.02     82.80     14.90
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         -6.6     10     26.25     24.50     33.20
JNPR  JUNIPER NETWORK       -6.3     28     23.68     22.19    -43.27
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -6.0     15    137.80    129.47     30.97
ISRG  INTUITIVE SURGI       -5.0     10    512.02    486.36     54.78
HSP   HOSPIRA INC           -4.7      7     36.19     34.50    -31.10
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -4.7     12     30.73     29.30        na
JCP   J.C. PENNEY CO        -3.8     12     41.90     40.29     20.19
ETFC  E*TRADE FINANCI       -3.8     11      9.64      9.27    -43.00
BEAM  BEAM INC              -3.5      9     55.85     53.89     19.61
AIG   AMERICAN INTERN       -3.2      9     28.71     27.78    -30.03
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -3.2     13      8.76      8.48     22.96
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -3.1      7     21.17     20.50     -8.67
PLL   PALL CORP             -2.7      8     63.58     61.86     21.41
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       -2.6      6      9.33      9.08    -28.70
CPB   CAMPBELL SOUP C       -2.3      8     33.87     33.10      2.52
THC   TENET HEALTHCAR       -2.1     12      5.80      5.68    -18.55
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -2.0     13     60.73     59.53      2.44
TEG   INTEGRYS ENERGY       -2.0      4     54.57     53.50     17.80
ADBE  ADOBE SYS INC         -2.0     14     33.34     32.69     -1.23
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -1.8      9     39.09     38.38     20.05
MOLX  MOLEX INC             -1.8      9     27.55     27.05      5.45
VMC   VULCAN MATERIAL       -1.8      7     46.53     45.71      8.44
ED    CONS EDISON INC       -1.6     12     58.82     57.87     22.92
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -1.6      7     80.97     79.71     21.43
BCR   CR BARD INC           -1.5     13     94.07     92.64     -1.59
GPS   GAP INC/THE           -1.5     21     22.75     22.41      7.85
URBN  URBAN OUTFITTER       -1.5     25     29.73     29.30    -20.79
CERN  CERNER CORP           -1.2     10     73.70     72.83     51.70
DO    DIAMOND OFFSHOR       -1.1     26     67.74     67.00     -6.98

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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